Birth rates continue to plummet in the West

They have declined across the board, save for women over 35.  The entire report from the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics can be found here.  Here’s a snippet from the results:

The provisional number of births for the United States in 2018 was 3,788,235, down 2% from 2017 and the lowest number of births in 32 years.  The general fertility rate was 59.0 per 1,000 women aged 15-44, down 2% from 2017 and another record low for the United States.  The total fertility rate declined 2% to 1,728.0 per 1,000 women in 2018, another record low for the nation.  Birth rates declined for nearly all age groups of women under 35, but rose for women in their late 30s and early 40s.  The birth rate for teenagers aged 15-19 was down 7% in 2018 to 17.4 births per 1,000 women; rates declined for both younger (aged 15-17) and older (aged 18-19) teenagers.

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While the birth rate overall dropping tells a story, what’s actually important is the birth rate by race.  Babies born in America aren’t magically a new race that is “American” so the total birth rate doesn’t really matter if a large portion of the country does not want to adhere to the standards and principles the country was founded on anyway.  Non-hispanic whites continue to lag behind, exacerbating the problem of what will soon be a majority non-white country.  But the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 won’t change the demographics of the country, right?  Not surprisingly, they don’t give the race statistics in the same way as every other statistic they cite.  Instead of telling us the birth rate by race, they simply supply the raw numbers.  This is a ploy.  Non-hispanic whites had more overall births, just over twice as many births as Hispanics, but when you consider non-Hispanic whites make up about 65% of the population and Hispanics just under 20% that tells quite a different story on who is breeding in larger numbers, by a noticeable margin.  People will continue to pretend they do not care or that this does not matter.  Just remember that when the percentages flip.  And remember where these people came from and how they ran their governments in their home countries.  This is what we have to look forward to.

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In an age where we are told to live for today, who cares about tomorrow, YOLO, etc, it is not surprising to see birth rates continue to drop in the West.  Christianity, which instills a mentality of planting seeds today for trees under which you will never enjoy the shade, has continued to be attacked and removed.  This, perhaps more than any other factor, has decimated birth rates too.  We have grown fat and lazy, indulge way too much in entertainment and other useless vices, and have grown complacent.  It is easy to see the mentality of “who wants the responsibility of kids” when there’s so much other entertainment and distraction out there.  Couple this with back-breaking taxes and the near impossibility of buying a house that won’t steep you in debt for 30 years and it only gets worse.  The only people who benefit from having more kids are those on welfare, further sucking the financial life out of hard-working people.

Sadly, the other factor nobody wants to talk about is the declining birth rate as women become more educated and work more.  One would hope we could have both, but clearly that is not happening.  If people were willing to have an open and honest conversation about this, perhaps something could be done about it.  Men and women age-wise might be better off taking different approaches to education and a career.  Might it not make more sense for women to marry and have kids before investing 10+ years in higher education and establishment in the workforce?  Is it even possible to wonder if this is a possibility without some people flipping out?  Just throwing it out there.

These birth rate trends cannot, and will not, last.  When the economic system finally becomes overloaded due to the combination of increased debt spending, yoking earners with ever more financial responsibility for those sucking off the government tit through welfare programs, and the demographic flip, the collapse will not be pretty.  And the longer it is put off the more it will hurt.

While this all sounds dour, there is hope.  At least for Christians.  That is one of the many beautiful things about Christianity; hope.  We are long overdue for a major correction.  It will come in the form of economic collapse and war.  Over 100 million immigrants and their descendants have come here since 1965 slowly eroding away the fabric of the country.  Eventually it will break.  Now is the time to move to a place and around people you can associate with and build strong communities.  Christians need to band together.  The inevitable loss of entertainment and “easy times” will help pave the way to higher birth rates, and honestly would it be such a bad thing to not be so globally connected and lost in our smart phones all day?  Strong, local, communities will spring up.  New nations will rise.

Where’s the benefit? Welfare usage by immigrants vs native households

A couple years ago the Center for Immigration Studies published this landmark study on welfare usage by immigrant households (both legal and illegal) as compared to native households.  Here are a few of the key findings from the study:

  • The average household headed by an immigrant (legal or illegal) costs taxpayers $6,234 in federal welfare benefits, which is 41 percent higher than the $4,431 received by the average native household.
  • The average immigrant household consumes 33 percent more cash welfare, 57 percent more food assistance, and 44 percent more Medicaid dollars than the average native household. Housing costs are about the same for both groups.
  • At $8,251, households headed by immigrants from Central America and Mexico have the highest welfare costs of any sending region — 86 percent higher than the costs of native households.
  • Illegal immigrant households cost an average of $5,692 (driven largely by the presence of U.S.-born children), while legal immigrant households cost $6,378.
  • The greater consumption of welfare dollars by immigrants can be explained in large part by their lower level of education and larger number of children compared to natives. Over 24 percent of immigrant households are headed by a high school dropout, compared to just 8 percent of native households. In addition, 13 percent of immigrant households have three or more children, vs. just 6 percent of native households.

Beyond this, more than half (51%) of ALL IMMIGRANT-HEADED HOUSEHOLDS use at least one federal welfare program, compared to 30% for native households.  See below for additional figures from the study.  The results are conclusive and altogether not surprising for many who read here, but this information must be passed around for everyone to see.

Remember, we’re being sold this as if we will perish without immigration.  The reality is we’ll perish if we continue immigration at its current levels.  Immigrants cost more money than they produce, plain and simple.  The average immigrant household is a net negative to the American taxpayer.  The stats above already show that we have a big enough welfare problem with native households as it is.  Further, these are not your great-great-grandparents’ immigrants.  We’re constantly told this is a nation of immigrants, which is patently false, and that we’ve always been welcoming.  The reality is the immigrants who came to Ellis Island did not have welfare benefits to welcome them when they got off the ships.  The only reward once getting off the boat was the OPPORTUNITY to work.  That was the American Dream.  Today, the American Dream is to be on the public dole once they get here.

There’s something of a trend in the graph above that is also worrying, though not altogether surprising.  Since 1965 the type of immigrant that has come here has changed drastically.  During the initial wave of immigrants in the 19th century the vast majority of them were of European descent.  The vast majority of immigrants today (both legal and illegal) hail from Central and South America.  And as the graph above shows the immigrants from Central and South America cost the average taxpayer much more than other demographic groups.  Again, how is this a benefit to America and its citizens?  These are tough discussions, and make some people uncomfortable.  But a little discomfort is far preferable than to say nothing and watch the destruction occur without doing anything for fear of offending someone.

Here are some of the conclusions of the study:

This study implies that two competing narratives about immigration are both true. Immigrants do indeed have a strong attachment to the labor force, as immigration advocates often point out. At the same time, however, immigrants consume a large amount of welfare spending, just as critics claim. The reason that both narratives are true is that the American welfare system has become increasingly focused on buttressing low-wage workers rather than supporting non-workers. Put more simply, welfare and low-wage work go together. Just as natives with low levels of education and large numbers of children are apt to consume welfare, immigrants with those same characteristics are also likely to be on welfare. A strong work ethic does not change this reality.

In order to reduce the cost of immigrant welfare use, either the welfare system or the immigration system must change. The former option is sometimes described as “building a wall around the welfare state” to prevent new immigrants from accessing it. It is easier said than done. Loopholes and exceptions have weakened previous attempts to limit immigrant access to welfare.18 More importantly, Congress has no power to prevent the U.S.-born children of immigrants from using the same welfare programs that the children of natives do. No matter how strong the “wall around the welfare state” is built, it cannot stop immigrant parents from signing up their U.S.-born children for Medicaid, SNAP, free school lunch, etc., as long as native parents can do the same.

Only a full-scale rollback of the welfare state for both immigrants and natives would prevent immigrant families from consuming welfare dollars. Whatever one thinks of that proposal, it is not a policy change likely to occur in the near future.19 In fact, importing new clients of the welfare state likely makes it even harder to roll back.20 As long as the U.S. continues to admit large numbers of low-skill immigrants (legal or illegal), then immigrant welfare consumption will remain high.

I’ve said before it is simply not feasible to continue immigration as we are currently doing it and be a welfare state.  That is suicide.  There is no other word for it.  We need to drastically cut down on legal immigration, and make it easier to deport illegal aliens.  Anchor babies can become citizens automatically.  This needs to stop.  Chain migration will break the back of the country.

Unfortunately, the national deficit is an abstract enough concept that nobody ever really takes it seriously.  Because we do not feel the effects of it on our everyday lives (noticeably anyway) it doesn’t feel like it’s a serious problem to most people.  It should.  And the word needs to be spread.  If the national deficit is too abstract a concept, remind people that a constant stream of legal immigrants and illegal aliens means more housing.  When’s the last time you thought you were getting a great deal on rent?  Or that housing prices were too low?  Or how about traffic?  It sounds silly, but they need to drive too.  When’s the last time you thought California could handle more cars on the road?  Or use the liberal’s arguments against them.  You want higher wages for workers?  Well, less low-skilled labor in the workplace will reduce the supply and invariably raise the wages for the workers that are left.  We need to start shifting the argument.  We have the high ground, we just need to use it better.

Financial advice in a socialist country

One of the greatest problems of any civilization is forgetting about the past.  We can’t learn from history’s mistakes if we don’t read up on it, or as is more often the case with our education system these days, if we’re not taught about it in the first place (or taught an alternate version).  Enter socialism, a system that no matter how many times it proves to be a total trainwreck, rears its ugly head over and over again.  And we’re promised that “last time it didn’t work, but this time it totally will”.  This article from The Economist explains some of the pains many in Venezuela have to go through because of socialism.

ASK the chief investment officer of a fund-management firm how to spread your investments and you will be told to put so much in stocks, so much in bonds and something in hedge funds or private equity. Chances are that white-elephant buildings, eggs and long-life milk will not feature. But in Venezuela, where the inflation rate is in the tens of thousands, things that people elsewhere would shun for fear they will lose value have become stores of real wealth.

That is why you can see scaffolding and other signs of a building boom dotted around Caracas, the capital of a country that has endured an economic collapse. Businesses need to park their earnings where they will not be wiped out by inflation. A smaller-scale response to galloping prices is the emerging “egg economy”. Eggs hold their value better than cash, for a while at least. They make for a convenient currency, too. It is easier to carry around a half-dozen eggs than a trunkful of banknotes. And many tradespeople would be happier to receive the eggs.

Is that the kind of place we want to live?  Where eggs are the currency and hold more value?  Or where a car is a better investment vehicle (har har) than a mutual fund?  The nation that has the largest oil reserves by country in the world should never in any circumstances be in the kind of financial trouble that they are in.  Socialism has the ability to destroy even the richest of natural resources.

Let this serve as a reminder to us.  Socialism, not now, not ever.

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The Starbucks Experiment

Starbucks announced this past week that it’d be closing 150 stores in “densely populated urban areas” next year.  Via the Washington Times:

Mr. Johnsonacknowledged that the decision to shut down 8,000 U.S. stores on May 29 for anti-bias training, driven by the high-profile arrests of two black men in Philadelphia, played a role in the company’s sluggish second-quarter performance.

“In this current quarter, certainly we had an unplanned initiative driven out of the Philadelphia incident, we closed all our stores for training, we had to delay some marketing, but none of that is an excuse,” Mr. Johnson told CNBC. “The fact is the way I think about a growth company at scale is we’ve got to deliver consistent growth, month after month, quarter after quarter, and year after year. And we have not done that.”

The free market is a beautiful thing.  Not only has it given humanity the greatest wealth ever in recorded history, but it can serve as an experiment for other aspects of life as well.  Take, for example,  a for-profit company, whose primary objective is to serve its stockholders and make profit.  What happens when said company changes its primary objective to social justice instead of making profit?  What happens when appeasement is practiced instead of deterrence?  Well, the case is clear here.  Rather than take a stand against the two men loitering in their store, they instead went the appeasement route.  They literally opened their doors to who knows how many vagrants and undesirables in their stores.  Now, they have to worry about not only people taking up seats and tables that should be for paying customers only, but also the bathrooms, sometimes for drug use.  This, in turn, has required stores to have to consider an additional position for the sole purpose of monitoring bathroom use.

CNBC analyst Jim Cramer, who owns a restaurant in Brooklyn, asked Mr. Johnson how Starbucks can meet its targets when many stores may need to add employee shifts to keep a closer eye on restrooms.

“I know that when we have bathrooms that are not clean, when we have people who want to use the bathroom, and yes, they are not going to pay, I totally get that, but we have to add a shift member, and it hurts our profitability,” said Mr. Cramer. “I cannot believe that the licensees didn’t see that, too.”

He added, “No one wants to add a shift member because it costs too darn much. KJ, how are you going to keep costs down if you have to add a shift member?”

Starbucks is planning to open 400 stores next year in addition to the 150 they are closing down.  The ones that are being closed down are in urban areas, and the 400 new ones are in “unpenetrated markets” instead of “urban locales”.  Hmmm, what do heavily populated urban areas have in much greater abundance than suburban markets?  Less homeless people you say?

I know this is probably too abstract a concept for the average libtard to grasp, but we’ll try anyways.  Imagine Starbucks were the United States.  Imagine the United States capitulated and changed their immigration policy to allow anyone and everyone in because muh feelings or whatever the pearl clutching point of the day is.  Think of all the extra money, labor, security, and infrastructure that is needed to support the new hordes of people clamoring to enter our country.  Think of how unfair this is to the citizens (customers) who pay (taxes) and who have the right to stay and live and work in this country.  Consider what this does to our national debt, how it weakens the US dollar, and how that has long term ripple effects elsewhere as well.  The primary objective of the United States government is to its constituents, the citizens of the United States.  Period.  Starbucks virtue signaled HARD and they’re paying the price for it in a stock hit and closing stores in areas where this stupid policy would have the most effect.  We too will pay a hard price if we continue to go the virtue signaling path.  An unrecoverable path if we do not fix this problem.  Soon.  Now.

Crypto: Beware of Coinbase

Andrew Torba, creator of free speech platform Gab, was just banned from Coinbase:

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Andrew sums it up nicely.  The whole draw to crypto is the decentralized aspect of it.  Exchanges like Coinbase, while definitely making it easier to trade from USD to certain cryptos, especially with those not very familiar with crypto, should be used with caution.  At the very least, after you make the exchange get your money off there immediately.  This should serve as a stark warning.  They’ll come for your money whether it’s the US Dollar or crypto based.  Policing on exchanges like this based on users and content is worrying.  Alt-tech needs to continue to rise and make alternatives.  Hitting them where it hurts in the wallet is the only way things will change.

Unemployment and Immigration

Something I frequently hear from those defending open borders is that now, more than ever, we need to import more labor because the unemployment rate is so low.  Keep in mind this is the excuse du jour.  Even when unemployment is rising they’ll give several other equally silly excuses as to why we need to import more help (my favorite – “they do the jobs we won’t do”).

The reality is that even though the U.S. unemployment rate slid to an 18 year low of 3.8% in May, this stat is completely obfuscated.  Per MarketWatch:

The official jobless rate, known as U3, only includes people who don’t have a job but have looked for one in the past month. The result is that millions of Americans who want to work are actually left out of the official figure, potentially making the labor market look healthier than it really is.

By contrast, the “real” unemployment rate also includes part-time employees who want to work full time as well as people who haven’t looked recently but are willing to work. It’s typically a lot higher.

This “real” unemployment rate, while arguably still not the most honest figure, is still much more telling than the one that is constantly cited.  It could be as high as 21.5%.

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It peaked at around 17.5% in 2010 and has been steadily dropping ever since, but is still more than twice the U3 rate which is the one most people hear about.  So the next time someone is lecturing you on why we need to import more unskilled labor calmly remind them that while President Trump has done a lot to improve the job market situation there are still plenty of Americans out there actively looking for work, or in the case of part time workers, better full time jobs.  The more of these jobs that are filled, the higher the wages will continue to rise, so long as we fill them with legal workers.  We’re already seeing this effect, as is the case at a Sacramento Chick-Fil-A, which will be raising their hourly wage to somewhere in the $17-18/hr range to try and reduce costly turnover.

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